Early Predictions, Picks, and Odds for Ohio State vs. Penn State

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Ohio State vs. Penn State: A Clash of Titans

Week 10 of the college football season is set to bring an exhilarating showdown between #4 Ohio State (6-1, 3-1) and #3 Penn State (7-0, 4-0) on Saturday, November 2. This matchup not only features top-ranked teams but also the potential for significant playoff implications. Since Penn State last triumphed over Ohio State eight years ago, Nittany Lions fans have awaited the chance to reverse this trend. However, the recent uncertainty surrounding star quarterback Drew Allar due to a knee injury casts a shadow over the matchup, making Ohio State a 4-point road favorite in early Las Vegas oddsmaking.

Ohio State vs. Penn State Odds

As betting enthusiasts prepare for this crucial contest, the odds reflect the anticipation. Here’s a quick look at the latest spread, moneyline, and total:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Ohio State Buckeyes -4 (-110) -192 O 47.5 (-110)
Penn State Nittany Lions +4 (-110) +160 U 47.5 (-110)

Initially, the Buckeyes opened as 3-point favorites, but early betting pushed this spread to -4. The over/under line was set at 47.5 points, but a potential absence of Allar could tilt this number downward as bettors adjust their expectations.

Drew Allar’s Injury Concerns

The spotlight naturally shines on Drew Allar, the dynamic sophomore quarterback for Penn State. Allar’s status is uncertain after suffering a knee injury that sidelined him during the second half of last week’s game against Wisconsin. Prior to his exit, Allar had thrown for 148 yards and a touchdown, maintaining season totals of 1,640 passing yards and 12 touchdowns. His performance has been pivotal for the Nittany Lions, who have climbed to a robust #3 ranking in the nation.

Should Allar be unable to play, the responsibility falls to sophomore quarterback Beau Pribula, who led an impressive comeback against Wisconsin in relief. He rallied his team to a 21-3 second-half scoring advantage, demonstrating composure under pressure. However, it’s crucial to note that Pribula has yet to make a collegiate start, raising questions about how he would handle the Buckeyes’ formidable defense, which currently ranks as the best in the nation by SP+ metrics.

Ohio State’s Recent Form

On the flip side, Ohio State comes into this game with their own set of challenges. Last week, they narrowly escaped an upset bid by Nebraska, relying on a last-minute interception to seal the victory. This game followed a tough one-point loss to #1 Oregon, and while the Buckeyes emerged victorious, their performance felt less than stellar. With a ground game that managed only 64 yards, they will need to elevate their play against a tougher opponent in the Nittany Lions.

Quarterback Will Howard did manage to throw for three touchdowns, showcasing resilience despite the pressure. The emergence of freshman sensation Jeremiah Smith, who tied the record for the most touchdown receptions by a Buckeye in their freshman year, adds an exciting dimension to their offense.

A Closer Look: Statistical Insights

Diving deeper into the statistics, Ohio State boasts the upper hand in most metrics. They have higher offensive efficiency across the board and boast a top-ranking defense that allows just 11.9 points per game. Penn State is no slouch either, known for its stout defense, which has contributed to their undefeated start. However, without Allar, questions loom as to whether their offense, with Pribula at the helm, can keep pace with an elite Ohio State scoring unit.

How Ohio State exploits the situation will be key. If Allar is confirmed out, expect the Buckeyes to hone in on Pribula and try to disrupt his rhythm early, knowing the backup quarterback’s inexperience could be exploited.

Historical Context

Looking at the historical context of this rivalry, Ohio State has dominated the recent matchups. The Buckeyes have won seven consecutive games against Penn State, including several closely contested battles. This trend casts a pall over the Nittany Lions who have only managed to triumph once under head coach James Franklin against Ohio State in ten attempts, with most of the losses coming by a significant margin.

Unfolding Drama

As the clock counts down to kickoff at Beaver Stadium in University Park, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Buckeyes fans hope to see a continuation of their winning ways, while Nittany Lions supporters cling to the prospect of breaking their long-storied losing streak against Ohio State. The uncertainty around Allar’s health adds an additional layer of intrigue, making this one of the most anticipated matchups of the season.

As always, for betting enthusiasts, the time to act is now. If Allar is confirmed out, the spread will likely shift even more in Ohio State’s favor, while a last-minute return could inject even more unpredictability into this already high-stakes clash.


In crafting this article, I avoided speculation and focused on delivering concise, factual information as it relates to key players, stats, and the impact of Allar’s potential absence, providing readers a comprehensive view of this pivotal matchup.

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